国际能源署报告指出,受高油价和供应中断影响,2026年全球石油需求预计将下降约100万桶/日 [1]。其中亚洲和中国是主要降幅来源,中国原油消费减少近600万桶/日,降幅达9% [1]。然而,尽管美国汽油价格较战前上涨约50%,美国驾驶员的汽油消费量在第二季度仍逆势增长 [1]。数据显示,美国5月平均汽油价格超过4.50美元/加仑 [1]。
According to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA), global oil demand in 2026 is projected to decline by approximately one million barrels per day due to high prices and supply disruptions [1]. This drop will be primarily driven by reductions in Asia and China [1]. Specifically, crude oil consumption in China fell nearly six million barrels per day, representing a nine percent decrease [1].
In contrast, US drivers continue to purchase more gasoline despite rising costs. The average price of gas in the United States exceeded $4.50 per gallon in May, marking an increase of about 50% compared to pre-war levels [1]. Despite these higher prices, U.S. gasoline consumption rose during the second quarter [1].