美国总统特朗普近期在北约峰会上发表激烈言论，称伊朗为“垃圾”，并威胁要再次重创该国 [1]。然而分析指出，尽管面临此类强硬言辞，美国未能通过军事手段迫使伊朗政权改变其核心诉求，即控制霍尔木兹海峡的航行权 [1]。目前正值伊朗前最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊于 2 月 28 日在美以发动战争首日被杀后的葬礼期间 [1]。
尽管谈判代表史蒂夫·维特科夫和贾里德·库什纳仍在进行秘密谈判，但特朗普表示认为他们在“浪费时间”[1]。伊朗方面决心保持对霍尔木兹海峡的控制权，该海峡承载全球五分之一的油气供应，是其对抗美国及以色列的关键筹码 [1]。潜在协议内容包括解除伊朗海外资产冻结、允许其出售石油以及承认其对海峡的权威；作为交换条件，伊朗需限制铀浓缩并允许联合国核查人员重返相关设施 [1]。
Analysis suggests that despite President Donald Trump's aggressive rhetoric regarding Iran, the United States lacks a viable military alternative to negotiations for resolving core disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz [1]. At a NATO summit, Trump characterized Iran as "trash" and threatened to strike them again tonight [1]. However, experts note that Washington has failed to use force to compel Tehran's regime to alter its fundamental demands regarding navigation rights in the strategically vital strait, which carries one-fifth of global oil and gas supplies [1].
While negotiations continue between representatives Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, Trump has stated he believes they are "wasting time" [1]. This diplomatic stalemate occurs against a backdrop where Iran is currently observing funeral rites for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the former Supreme Leader who was killed on February 28 during an Israeli-American war launch [1].
A potential agreement under discussion would involve lifting sanctions and freezing of Iranian overseas assets, permitting oil sales, and recognizing Tehran's authority over the strait in exchange for restrictions on uranium enrichment and allowing United Nations inspectors to return [1].